terminally bored
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Hello oomf. Finally, tomorrow's the day. We will be freed from this banner. And since they revealed two events in the latest stream, we may actually know the end of July lims, too. That's cool.
So, for the last time, here's the predictions for the end of June banner:
The most reasonable choice is doing EmuMix2. If they go with same-unit FES pairs, the most likely choice is Kanaena, which would mean Emu + Akito + VBS Miku lims.
I believe that's the most likely banner because, if they did Toya, that'd mean repeating 4/6 of the Sanrio characters, and if Miku's not here, then she's guaranteed to be in Kohane5 and we have the issue of Miku singing over Rin, as I think MMJ MEIKO (event card), L/n Len, and Niigo Luka are likely lock-ins because of the 3/4* illustrations thing.
Another possible banner is Emu + Airi + MMJ Len. That one's a bit more headscratching because it'd be Airi's fifth lim in a row (counting Sanrio and WL), and we keep getting spammed with MMJ lims. But otherwise, it seems fine.
There's also the possibility of VBS FES. Because of the new FES skills, it's not guaranteed to be Akitoya anymore (BUMMER!) and could be Akito&An instead. In that case, I'd say the banner's likely Emu + Kanade + Niigo MEIKO so Niigo MEIKO can be somewhere before anni (for the 3/4* illustrations thing).
The one last possibility is L/n FES. Although I think it's the least likely choice since the previous FES had Saki, it's technically not impossible. The pair is guaranteed to be Ichihona in this case, though. The banner may have to be Emu + Akito + VBS Miku, as Emu + Kanade + Niigo MEIKO would mean yet another Ichikana banner (good lord).
However, as outrageous and unprecedented as it is, I think the possibility of Kohane5 being the limited banner can't be discarded. People will be FURIOUS, but... it is what it is. I wouldn't be surprised at all if it happens. The lineup is pretty much locked to Kohane + Akito + VBS Miku, and the FES is... whatever they want it to be lol.
Now, there's the consideration of mixed FES pairs. Since it's a new FES series, with a new name and new skills, they may actually do mixed pairs so units can get those faster (?); or perhaps they don't care!
Anyways, if they actually do mixed FES pairs, I think Kanade is an extremely likely choice. Being one of the most popular characters, and currently quite due for a 4* card, it makes sense they'd go with her first, especially for a new FES series. They could pair her with Honami, not because of their relationship (which I believe isn't important), but because that way L/n could get a 4* in the banner and explain why L/n WL is in late July.
In that case, I'd say the banner's, once again, likely to be Emu + Akito + VBS Miku.
But I thought of another, and possibly stranger choice: Miku+Kanade. Maybe it makes sense to do this, as VS WL is next, and giving them the new FES skill before it would be good (though WxS didn't get their second set of FES cards before WL so it's probably not that important).
This gives them more liberty for the banner, as they can do something like Emu + Airi + MMJ Len, or even Emu + Honami + Airi. This is probably the most unpredictable choice.
"But if they do Miku here, who would be FES on anni?" who knows. god bless. probably two random chars (maybe something funny like Rin+Rui)
So, here's the tl;dr of all the possibilities I thought of:
If same-unit pairs FES:
- Kanaena FES + Emu, Akito, VBS Miku
- Kanaena FES + Emu, Airi, MMJ Len
- VBS FES + Emu, Kanade, Niigo MEIKO
- Ichihona FES + Emu, Airi, MMJ Len
- Ichihona FES + Emu, Kanade, Niigo MEIKO [really doubt this one but putting it here anyways]
If mixed pairs FES:
- Kanahona FES + Emu, Akito, VBS Miku
- Miku&Kanade FES + Emu, Honami, Airi or Emu, Airi, MMJ Len or ???
- idfk lol. pretty unpredictable
My personal prediction is either Kohane5 lims or Kanaena FES + Emu, Akito, VBS Miku.
In the former case, they could actually still do Niigo MEIKO lim at the end of July and therefore put her somewhere, and both of the most due VS (VBS Miku and Niigo MEIKO) get cards soon, although it means doing one of the most outrageous things in the game so far. Not looking forward to the reactions if they go with this.
The second case is the most reasonable choice, although idk what it'd mean for Niigo MEIKO. Whatever, I guess, she's already rotting. It also means five WxS lims within three lim banners (wedding Nene, Emu mixed, and WxS lims), six if you count WxS Luka, and idk if that's too much, but maybe it's WxS fans' turn to go through the torture labyrinth.
Perhaps it can also be VBS FES + Emu, Kanade, Niigo MEIKO; it does solve the issues I mentioned, actually, by putting Niigo MEIKO somewhere, both of the most due VS getting cards soon (VBS Miku would be in Kohane5 100%), and it's not a particularly outrageous choice. Probably.
Either way, I imagine whatever we get is something I didn't predict at all LOL, because that's how this world works. Farewell.
We're finally almost here..!!!
I actually was starting to consider Miku for the Bloomfes--considering they made a big distinction of how VS skills are different, and Miku is pretty due for a 4* (I'm under the assumption that they aren't going to even bother too hard with Miku's 4* counts anymore and she'll just vaguely follow everyone else's counts but because it's Miku, who knows if she'll ever go ahead, though I doubt she'd fall behind.)
I personally think Miku's next 2 4* will be her WL card + BloomFES, and that she won't be seeing any new event 4* for a bit. I think it just doesn't really fit in any time slots tbh. I think they'd even rather wait for her WL than put her in VBS if she isn't Bloomfes here. I just don't see her in a regular event rn.
I still don't agree with VBS even being a possibility--2 unit lims in a row, one on FES rates, with a one month gap? I think that's just kinda... a different level of BS that even Colopale would not do. I think they just wanted to announce Tsukasa5 to drum up hype/keep announcing 2 commis a month for now. I can see what you're saying though, and if by some.. unholy miracle it's this, well, damn, congrats.
Yeah I feel like this banner is gonna have some weird shit nobody really precisely predicted. Emu focus I think is the only thing everyone agrees with.
I miss feeling secure in Anhane+Akitoya fes specs :sob: Imagine if it really is Akian FES (:skull:) and then we get KohatoyaVS immediately after. Wouldn't that be something.
The thing about VBS Rin is that it'd be too fast for her to get another 4* in Kohane5, unless they randomly do 3OC and give her the 3* there, but I think it's likely 2OC + VS, especially if Miku isn't at the end of June, so Rin is pretty much either Kohane5 or end of July (if they do Mizutoya mixed?)
If Luka sings for Niigo (Mizuki5?), Len for Ichika5, MEIKO for Airi5, and let's say KAITO for Tsukasa5 (could parallel 88 with that, especially if they do the funny 88th event song thing), that leaves Rin and Miku for VBS, assuming they don't repeat VS or have a singing VS that doesn't match one of the VS in the lineup, which hasn't happened at all since Airi4, I believe?
I can personally see now them delaying Miku yet another event so she gets a 4* in Kohane5, since she has barely been in event songs this uh... last year? (Although she makes up for that with the new unit songs and all the covers she is in, I suppose?)
Also I believe there's a chance they actually do three events in September (WxS lims, Niigo, and L/n). Since they skipped one mixed already, they may skip another, to "make up" for last year's mixed-only month. But if not, then I agree Niigo Luka could just be in a perm mixed (or L/n Len, if they actually leave L/n rather than Niigo for after anni)
By the way, speaking of Kohane5 and Miku earlier: I've been thinking about the case where they don't do Miku lim to put her in Kohane5, and I agree with you after all that it'd likely be a 3OC lineup.
However, as outrageous as it sounds, I think there's a fair chance it has Airi. I know it'd be her 5th lim 4* in a row, counting WL and Sanrio lol, but I feel she's a perfect fit in there. They usually have at least one character in lim banners that is most due for a lim, and she is among those right now. Otherwise the lineup would pretty much consist of characters that have had lims since NY.
It could be like: FES Kanaena + Emu, Honami/Ichika, Airi
Could do Akito over Airi if they go with Ichika, since I believe repeating Akito and Honami lims together so fast may be too much, but would they do a Ichikana banner yet again? For the fourth time in a row for Ichika? I like them but... we need variety
Also laying out all my predictions:
End of June Mixed - FES Kanaena + Emu, Ichika/Honami, Airi/Akito OR Emu, Akito, VBS Miku
VBS - Kohane, Akito, Miku [Miku sings] OR Kohane, ???, ??? [Rin sings]
L/n WL
End of July Mixed - Toya, Mizuki, Niigo MEIKO (Rin shop)
MMJ - Airi, Minori, Shizuku? MEIKO shop
VS WL
WxS lims - Tsukasa, Nene, Rui KAITO shop?
L/n - Ichika, ???, Len [Len sings]
Niigo - Mizuki, ???, Luka [Luka sings]
(wrote a lot as always. sorry)
The issue is, one of Meiko/Luka shouldn't sing this rotation if Miku sings... otherwise we'd be at the exact same problem we had with Niigo Rin vs. Niigo Miku where it just doesn't end up happening and we get Rin again. If we assume Luka and Meiko both sing this rotation (Luka in Mizuki5, Meiko in Airi5) then we absolutely need to distribute Rin Len and Kaito in Leoni/VBS/WxS.
Our current counts as of this rotation (Miku voided because she does not matter for the sake of this discussion because she is always unbalanced and ahead)
15 Meiko
14 Luka
13 Rin, Len, Kaito
If Meiko gets a commission, all 3 of Rin/Len/Kaito need one to hit 14 to keep the 2 gap of 16/15/14 alive, and Luka can be replaced for Miku. (though this would be kindof weird with all 4 hitting 14 while Meiko is much ahead at 16.)
Basically, what I'm trying to say is, if we get a Miku commi, we can only kill off Luka/Meiko for it. We can't kill off Rin/Len/Kaito for one.
So I do think if VBS is Miku 4*, we're gonna have a kick in the shop for Rin (or Kaito if you prefer VBS Kaito here and WxS Rin later) just to avoid Miku being the singer.
Yeaaah I'm really not feeling another Ichikana... 4 in a row just is too much... I think we could only get Ichika if we really do end up with Akitoya fes.
Also, it would definitely be Shizuku on Airi's event. No use pushing Haruka ahead too when Shizuku likely wouldn't have a chance to get another 4* until an October perm. I guess you could swap out Minori for Haruka, but Haruka wants the shop more... and Minori wants to dodge lims more than Haruka, so Minori makes more sense for the 4*
I was thinking, for the theorical Toya+Mizuki mixed, that the lineup could be Toya, Mizuki, Niigo MEIKO, with event cards Rui and someone else (Ena, An, or perhaps VBS Rin).
Speaking of VBS Rin, it looks like most VS versions have gotten at least one 3 or 4* card that shows them in their Brand New outfits, but one of the missing ones is VBS Rin, and I'm not particularly feeling 4* Rin in Kohane5 (too fast?) so perhaps she can be the 3* in that mixed.
By the way other missing VS are: L/n Len, MMJ MEIKO, and Niigo MEIKO and Luka. I feel like they could do L/n Len and Niigo Luka in September, and MMJ MEIKO... maybe the event card in Airi5, since I don't think there's any other spot for a MMJ event lol.
Went off on a tangent there though... so yeah, Toya+Mizuki+Niigo MEIKO, and shop Rui and Ena/An/VBS Rin
Also for Emu's mixed, I was thinking of Emu, Akito, VBS Miku and shop Mafuyu (char with least 2/3* cards right now iirc?) and someone else (I'd say a MMJ or L/n char so it's not the exact same units as the MizuToya mixed lineup). Who knows what kind of story they'd cook up with that lineup
I've been thinking about this too now after you mentioned it. Niigo Meiko would probably be the only one with a cameo instead of an actual card, so it makes sense for it to be a priority ti get her a new card...
As you mentioned, Niigo Meiko on the mixed event
MMJ Meiko I think will just be 3* on Airi5. This one I feel like is the one with the least complication on its own, but it does mean Rin Len and Kaito will all need a commission between the other 4 events in this rotation (L/n VBS WxS Niigo)
L/n Len can probably be 4* on Ichika5 (I'm assuming it'll be Ichika next. feels most sensible) plus Len absolutely does not need shop right now. Feels like an easy slot in?
Niigo Luka can return for Mizuki's event (if it takes place pre-anni) otherwise she can just get stuffed in a perm mix, yeah.
VBS Rin... I'm stumped. I mean, I guess it could be true and we get VBS Rin as a 3* there. The thing with her is there is a lot of options for what they can do for her. So I'll just accept they want that somehow.
No worries about the late response! Also yeah, the Mafuyu event was very good!
I believe Miku could be on both next lim banner and anni FES, so she can catch up again on her 4* card amount. iirc before the WxS Miku banner, it was "Miku only gets lims in colorfes banners / annis & half-annis", and now it's "special occasions". Also, perhaps this banner is an occasion special enough (a colorfes banner?); or they simply break yet another pattern. They did break the Miku cap, after all.
I think the issue with 3OC is... they either repeat too many lims from the last few months, or they repeat a previous mixed lineup (Emu+Honami+Kanade or Emu+Honami+Ena).
For the former point of "repeating too many lims from the last few months"; let's say they did Emu+Honami+Toya and Kanaena FES. All these characters got lims in the last 6 months, which feels like repeating them too fast to me.
The max I believe they've repeated from the previous three months is three lims. For example: FES Ena and NY An and Rin on NY2023 -> 2.5 An+Ena and FES Rin; or Anni Minori, FES MEIKO, followed by Shizuku lim -> all three in NY2024.
This is also why I believe something like Emu+Saki+Kanade and Akitoya FES is unlikely because they'd be repeating four characters from the last three months. It's a tricky case.
But Emu+Ichika+Ena (with FES Akitoya), or Emu+Ichika+Akito/Toya or Emu+Honami+Toya (FES Kanaena for both) should be alright, even though all these characters have gotten lims already since NY.
So I'd expect at least one character that hasn't had a lim in a while (which would be like, Miku or Airi)... though I just looked at the last time most characters got a lim and pretty much everyone has had at least one lim since NY LOL. Okay maybe this part is moot (not deleting it for posterity though); but the "repeating too many lims from the last three months" point still applies imo.
Now, since you coincidentally mentioned Mafuyu's event, I have new predictions because of it:
In the second ending scene, we see Ena at Kamikou's cultural festival, which seems to be a future scene? Mostly unrelated to the event and as a cliffhanger for the Mizuki storyline.
My first thought after this was "perhaps they'll actually do Mizuki+Rui mixed at the end of July, to set up the next Mizuki focus...", but then I got enlightened: Mizuki+Toya mixed. They're in the same class now, after all, and it could be focused on the Kamikou cultural festival... KAMIKOU FESTIVAL 2 incoming? This also fits perfectly with the other predictions:
- Emu+Akito+VBS Miku (+ Kanaena FES) at the end of June
- Toya+Mizuki+Niigo MEIKO at the end of July
- Tsukasa+Nene+Rui (WxS Lims) at the end of August [88th Event Song]
I was worried about Toya because he hasn't been a 4* in a mixed event since WD2, so he was the more likely choice for Emu's mixed... but that prediction feels off (mainly because Ena, Emu, Toya, and Miku in the banner means repeating 4/6 of the Sanrio banner).
"But would they do the big reveal of Mizuki's secret in a mixed?"
I believe this event could just be the preparation of the festival, Mizuki and Toya hanging out and doing stuff together; and the event ends with Ena visiting Mizuki's class, which would mean Mizuki5 starting from there, and therefore the mixed not being a mandatory read? (just some story theorizing)
So yeah, that's it I think. Yapped a lot again. I believe the only issues with my predictions are:
- Why is L/n WL in late July?! 😭 I don't get it honestly
- also the fact that i dont wanna be optimistic about an akito lim because i'll cry if it doesn't happen cough I'll just pretend I'm wrong and delusional so I don't get disappointed. There's no Akito in Project Sekai
That's all for now. Farewell.
It's true, you could say FES is probably a special enough occasion... but these lims DO rerun, and without FES... so it's a strange middle ground? Especially compared to the other special occasions--we get one VS event a year (and it seems gated to be Miku focus, lol) and it happened on her birthday, and collabs are like, even rarer, so Sanrio makes sense... I guess just, would a random event that happens to coincide with FES and be given the blessings of FES rates be enough to be called "special"? Alternatively yeah they could just end that pattern too.
Wouldn't lim here + WL + anni4 FES end up being 22 4* though? Do we think they'd do that? I guess it's Miku, so it doesn't matter.
I guess we'll find out about all this in a week. Hooray for early leaks! I can't wait for this specific lineup to be behind us, ngl. What a complete mess!
For me though, how I read that, it was more of like... a vehicle to get the plot moving. Considering they barely seem to let Ena have any proper relevance at Kamikou, it makes me think it was a done as a good idea in order to get Ena involved, because we know she almost definitely wouldn't willingly miss out on a cultural festival. Now she's at school, at Mizuki's class. It's the type of thing that easily leads to plot developments and who-knows-what happening. A really strong buildup imo.
HOWEVER...
I think something like a sweet brief Mizuki+Toya mixed where they prepare for the cultural festival could be fairly filler enough that it'd make sense if they want to include the Kamikou festival as an actual mixed event. It'd be really weird to have the first big Mizuena development since Ashiato to take place in a mixed... so I guess I could see some small little buildup to increase Mizuki and Toya's bond first. Please let Toya get an event without a Rui lim. We're definitely getting one of Ruikasa on the shop though... and I sure hope one of the other girls could get a shop (mizuan save us?), because I'd have one hell of a sour taste in my mouth if we get 3 OC guys and Mizuki for a lineup.
I think the only other explanation for L/n WL being in late July (assuming it's not related to lims/game balance) could be either trying to hit the Tsunagu Hoshi no Uta slot and the Perseids...? So you could roll with that, I guess?
Hello oomf. This time I waited until the event reveal so I wouldn't be comically wrong with my predictions; funnily I would've been right this time, because I felt they'd do Niigo Rin over Miku and Mafuyu would become the new face of the game (/j)
I'm gonna yap a bit (a lot) if you don't mind...!
I think it's most likely Miku's at the end of June; but perhaps they go "might as well lol" and make her wait until Kohane5, which should be right after?
Under the assumption that they (finally) do Emu's second mixed, and Miku's also a lim; if they do Kanade+Ena FES, I believe Akito's the more likely lim because, if they went with Toya, that'd mean repeating 4/6 of the Sanrio banner characters, which I feel is excessive, especially when the Sanrio banner isn't even one year old. So the solution is either doing Akito, or they actually go with mixed FES (Kanade+Honami?), which means they can do Toya
I believe there is no glaring issue with Kanade+Honami FES and Emu+Toya+Miku lims, and we check all the boxes with it: why L/n WL is in late July (FES Honami) & it's a two OC+VS event & Niigo doesn't get too many 4* close together. Ena should be fine with waiting until anni for her next 4* (~170 days since her previous one), but Kanade is a bit more urgent
However, if it has to be Kanade+Ena FES, then Emu+Akito+Miku seems like the only choice unless they're fine with repeating over half of the Sanrio banner. Or if Miku's not in the banner
On the other hand, if they keep Miku for Kohane5, then it's harder to guess the banner; I imagine at that point it'd either be a 3OC event (something like Emu + Ichika + Airi/Kanade?), or Niigo's in the lineup for a Niigo VS (Emu + Kanade + Niigo MEIKO/Len?). Which means Akitoya FES...
Another thing to take into account is the attribute of events, which can help predict things:
- If Miku's there, it's totally not Pure. Like, come on. However, I really don't get why they did Mysterious FES Emu over Pure if this banner's not Pure?!
- Cool may be fine because Miku only has two Cool 4*, but both Akito and Toya have got Cool lims recently. I think Akito's alright because the shortest gap between lims of the same attribute is three months (FES MEIKO -> NY MEIKO), but Toya getting another Cool lim just two months later may be too much. I am not counting Sanrio or WL cards though (otherwise the record is held by Nene, with WL -> Wedding). However, even if we counted WL, I think Toya getting three Cool lims in less than a year may be a lot lol
- No real issue with Happy. Emu would be getting her 5th Happy 4*, which is fine now that OCs have started getting 5th 4* cards of attributes
- Cute is a bit more difficult because they'd likely have to do Emu+Toya+Miku, since all three of Emu, Akito, and Miku already have four Cute 4* cards. But I don't really believe it'll be Cute
- And Mysterious is the one I'm leaning most towards. Despite the fact FES Emu was Mysterious, it'd be the same case as FES MEIKO -> NY MEIKO, so it's probably fine? Plus Akito is, iirc, one of the most due characters to get a 4* of a specific attribute (nearly two years since last Mysterious 4*)
So I'm personally leaning towards Cool or Mysterious, if they go with Emu+Akito+Miku. If they did Toya over Akito, it'd most likely be Mysterious, or perhaps Cute. Don't ask me about any other lineup though lol
tl;dr: I think it's most likely Emu+Akito+VBS Miku (+ FES Kanaena) IF they do Miku there
Finally, I suppose Kohane5 would be either Cute or Happy. I think the lineup would be Kohane + Akito or Toya (whoever's not a lim) + VS (Len or Rin?). If it's Akito, it's likely Happy; if it's Toya, either attribute should work
If Miku's there, though, then Kohane+Akito+Miku (Cool)?
Idk if I forgot anything. Sorry for yapping so much. Have a good day!
So sorry for the lateish answer! I've been mulling over a response for awhile and well, just processing what's been happening lately with Mafuyu's event, 'cause I ended up really liking it a lot! I kindof had a sinking gut feeling I talked about occasionally for the past week in a discord server I'm in about Rin but I was a bit in hardcore denial they'd really break the Miku cap, lol.
Personally, I guess I'm not sure about Miku on the lim banner tbh--I feel like they're still reserving her for special occasions--VS events, collabs, fes lims, anniversary events... I think Miku as a FES card on anni4 seems pretty decently possible. It's true that breaking the Miku cap brings up chances of stuff a bit... so I won't write it off as "it's just impossible" but I'm just not really feeling it yet till it actually happens. I think Rin here if anything, raises the likelihood of 3OC.
I'm starting to go back to consider that maybe it really is a Leo/need lim here. I agree that Honami is pretty possible due to her lim count, but at the same time, man, another Emu+Honami event is a bit crazy, but that definitely wouldn't stop them. (looks over at Emu+Saki) ...why's Emu always at the scene of the crime with Leo/need? If it's 3OC I don't think we'll have Airi. I think her next 4* will be her focus (which I believe will be the perm before VS WL... also, another Airi lim would kinda suck...)
I'm still against mixed fes, because I think it would just end up mostly being "pair the spares" past like maybe 3 or so of them w/ the first few and would as such be a bit of a stupid decision. Plus how would they work VS into it?
Also, I mean, come on, 3 units have their most popular pairings coming up, and one of the other 2 already got their most popular... Minoharu+Shizuai, Anhane+Akitoya, Ruikasa+Emunene...? I feel like it would be commercial suicide to skip out on those. Would Colopale really go for something weird like, say, Airi and Toya fes...?!?
I THINK the rest of your conclusions are solid though. I don't see anything glaringly wrong? I guess it's just moreso to me "would they really?" rather than anything to refute such possibilities.
Looking forward to the livestream this upcoming week, hope you have a good day too!
(rerun spoilers, just in case)
what are your thoughts on the pattern of at least one of the characters in the month's rerun banners being in the next lim banner? if it had happened once or twice i'd think it's a coincidence, but it's been a thing every month since the 2nd reruns started:
[november] kohanemix2 + SBD + 1.5 anni reruns -> akito and len lims
[december] haruka3 + wedding toya + anni1 -> fes minori and meiko lim
[january] ny tsukasa + ny haruka + smile of dreamer -> VD kohane and haruka lims
[february] VD ichika + wedding an + WD tsukasa -> WD kanade and ichika lims
[march] WD toya + hermit mizuki + VD airi -> kaito lim + sakiemu fes
[april] 2.5 anni + summer honami + haruka2 -> an lim (just one matching char this time)
[may] mizuki4 + moon rabbits + kanademix1 -> wedding minori and luka lims
and it seems the pattern may keep up, since there's a pretty good chance of emu and kanade in the next lim banner
normally i'd be skeptical, considering statistically there's a good chance of repeating characters like this, but seeing that it's been a thing for so many months, i feel like they may do it a bit intentionally. even before 2nd reruns started being a thing, you'd occasionally see chars getting a lim the lim banner after (and sometimes before) a rerun (the most recent examples: shizuku4 right after anni2 rerun, or anni ichika after dlf rerun)
speaking of which, those are coincidentally the next two reruns lol. since akito's in one of the reruns, do you think there's a chance they do emu+akito rather than emu+toya at the end of june? and then kohane+toya in kohane5. both toya and an want a 2*, so they could put 2* toya in the emu+akito banner, and then shop akito+an in kohane5
i consume leaks and the story like a kid consumes candy... and well, i already read the haruka event story like within the past hour, before it even released, i'm that type of crazy about consuming them.. (i save spoilery event/song discussion until stuff releases though, so...)
so don't worry about "random" rerun spoilers. plus i feel like reruns being gatekept from the player knowing is like, kindof a dick gacha move, lol
i honestly think it's kindof inevitable to repeat one of the characters. frankly, this requires about 9 characters on average a month... and well, in some cases, it's more (like this month being 10) or less (like hermit month being 8) which is, over 1/3 of the cast.
but i do think it's worth noting for sure.. the consistency is a bit above coincidence, i think? i wouldn't be shocked if they planned putting some lims around reruns. stuff like SBD akito getting a rerun before crank up? like you'd be hard pressed to convince me that isn't intentional, lol
wondering who could be our repeat(s) this time?
honami+emu+kanade, shiho+ichika+saki, and mafuyu+shizuku+akito+rui which. having 10/26 of the cast here doesn't exactly rule it out much, lol. though we can rule out miku for a lovely 10/25. so 20% lol. i think kanade and emu are definitely happening though... and possibly akito, yeah.
LMAO its funny how this keeps happening to me. (i send an ask shortly before an event reveal / stream and they get comically proven wrong) the world's got it for me. fortunately it didnt mess up my predictions much, and most of them mostly stand. so here's what i think now:
end of june - fes kanaena + emu toya vbs rin
since rin is pretty much locked in the banner, and kanaena are pretty much the only fes option (IF unit pairs!), it's just not possible to have a l/n char in here, unless it's either not emu mixed, or mixed fes pairs (honakana). so there's no explanation for why l/n wl is in late july
end of july - shizuku, mizuki, niigo meiko
niigo meiko's revival is sooner than expected, and it confirms mizuki over kanade since kanade's extremely likely fes now
end of august - tsukasa, nene, rui
stealing this one. it makes a lot of sense. lets go
anni - fes mikurin + an, saki, haruka, ena
same thing as before
and that'd leave i think mafuyu, airi, and kaito with just 5 lims after anni (not including sanrio airi), so i imagine they'd do airi+mmj kaito and mafuyu in the two lim events following anni
Sure is some bad luck 💀
Definitely in agreement about Junefes and WxS lim. I think ShizuMizuMeiko is also pretty sensible? I’m trying to think of something else but like… what else even is there? It can’t be Leoni due to b2b, it can’t be WxS due to lim b2bs, it can’t be any Niigo except Mizuki, it obviously can’t be Minori (thank god the poor girl needs a break. I just feel so bad for her and her fans) and the rest of MMJ are kind of like picking your poison (lol)
I unfortunately think Sanrio counts at this point—all the characters in it were pretty dead around it and all the ones with Sanrio conveniently all being behind on hairstyle makes it umm… suspicious, to say the least. It also makes the goldilocks gap of 2 unbalanced without it iirc? But hey, what do I know. Who knows what goes on there… it’s a total shame if it does, because 6 people just having less hairstyles is just cruel.
I think you’ve got some of the lim counts wrong—Len would also be behind as well as Honami. But…
I actually think with Rin here it’ll be MikuLen on annifes, plus it gives them a boy on anniversary which would be pretty expectable imo
(omfg wait is that the real reason why ena got two 4* in a row? i always wondered why they didnt just switch tsukasa3 and kanade3, but the 88th event thing makes a lot of sense...)
also not just an, but toya too (13 and 14 months of wait, respectively), so rui waiting 14 months since his last lim would make sense. i can see it... 88th event song... (i was actually already considering the possibility but i didnt have any specific reasoning for it. something to chew on) it'd explain why they rushed mafuyu5 and put it in june rather than wait until july huh... the july event probably has two OCs and a VS and they couldn't move that one to august... [<- making up shit]
in that case, anni would probably be something like an+saki+haruka+ena, and the event card emu/nene, keeping the pattern of the next year's anni focus being the previous year's anni event card
but then that makes me wonder... whats at the end of july, after all? after sending the mafuyu thing i went back to shizuku+rui, but since the wxs lims thing makes sense, idk? i can still see shizuku + mmj vs but idk who she could be with. kanade? mizuki? (those are literally the only two choices along with kohane, actually. shizuku+mizuki makes a lot of sense, and kanade could work if mafuyu's involved)
so a quick list of my predictions:
july (summerfes) - fes akitoya + emu, ichika/honami, airi
august - shizuku, kanade, mmj kaito?
september - tsukasa, nene, rui [<- stolen pred]
october (anni) - fes mikurin + an, saki, haruka, ena
and if i didnt count wrong, that'd leave mafuyu and meiko (and honami if not in summerfes) as the chars remaining with 5 lims after anni, so they'd likely be in november and december. i could see mafuyu + niigo meiko event, with the latter's long awaited revival
(sorry i wrote so much. i hit my head in my sleep)
to my knowledge it's Technically not confirmed but like. tsukasa gets all the 88 shit everywhere and he's the poster boy (specifically boy) so he ends up getting some privileges other characters don't
(not really gonna answer the rest because like, mmj kaito being here kindof just destroyed so much of this huh. wow... it's crazy how a singular 4* can really mess up plans, isn't it?)
randomly thought about it but mafuyu can't be a 4* at the end of july unless miku somehow gets another 4* by then (assuming she's getting one in mafuyu5, which would mean either two miku 4* in a row, or she is in the july event before l/n wl), so mafuyu+rui mixed isn't really a viable choice for the end of july
Oooh... you're right, I kept forgetting about that, lol. Thanks for pointing it out
I'm starting to consider the possibility of a WxS unit lim event for the end of August, in which case Tsukasa (focus), Nene, and Rui. It's gotta be a 3OC because of it being adjacent to VS WL to begin with, and WxS is due a unit lim event. So it kinda works out. "but why delay Rui's lim that long?" is a valid answer but considering they pushed back An for a unit lim... I'm not sure
Also, someone pointed out that would be the 88th event commission which... feels like a thing Colopale would do after they made sure Tsukasa had the 88th event (Phoenix) and fucked over Ena in the process by making her get b2b 4* :skull:
The other day I saw someone mention the possibility of Niigo unit lim event at the end of July and, actually, that makes a fair amount of sense
However it'd probably have to be Kanade focus because otherwise, it'd be the third Mizuki unit lim event lol?
So if Kanade's not at the end of this month, this is something to consider...!
Kanade + Mizuki + Niigo MEIKO (or Len lol) would fit pretty well, which would mean anni Ena. And probably Rui at the end of August?
So perhaps something like this if they go that route:
SummerFES -> Emu, Airi, MMJ Len + Akitoya FES (im aware there's no l/n char in the banner but. its impossible to do both non-3OC and have a l/n char unless its not emu focus or they do mixed fes pairs tbh)
End of July -> Kanade, Mizuki, Niigo MEIKO
End of August -> Rui and Mafuyu mixed maybe? (idk who could be third)
Anni -> MikuRin FES + Ena
Ehh... I can see what the line of thinking is, but for me, I don't really think it makes much sense personally. If Kanade doesn't get a lim, I wouldn't really think of a unit lim still.
Maybe I'm just closeminded but I don't really see them giving us a second third unit lim event when have WxS+L/n still are at 1 and VBS only barely getting 2.
I think MMJ having 3 was already a shock (and probably more of a byproduct of MMJ just being constantly both behind, and through the gutter) and I don't really think it's likely for them to push out another Niigo before we at least get WxS because well, their due date is long, people want a new one, fans would be pretty mad at seeing another Niigo unit lim and might stir up a fuss to Colopale's emails/discord (fusses are bad).
I definitely agree that Kanade is getting a lim this Summer though, and I agree with Ena anni+probably MikuRin fes? A Rui+Mafuyu mix is something I've thought about too. I just have it placed where your unit lim is, lol.
I personally think there maaaay not be a lim event at the end of August. VS WL has 6 characters, compared to every other unit's 4, so if they want to be fair to them and have all of them be 3 days each, the event would have to last 18 days (However, idk if people would like having the same event for nearly 3 weeks lmao)
I imagine they'll announce the VS WL schedule and dates next stream tho so we may know the answer before the next lim banner
Either way, I think the VS are fine, if they do something like:
-VBS Rin at the end of July
-Miku + Len FES for anni
-And (way too far to predict this but just as an example), let's say, Niigo MEIKO at the end of October/November and MMJ KAITO for NY, I think we're fine?
The only way I could see SummerFES not being 3 OCs while also having a L/n char in its lineup (and not FES) is if they don't do EmuMix2... would they delay it further? She could be the anni event but I think it should happen already so uhh. Who knows. A difficult to predict banner...
Ehh... my personal bet (and I think most people's?) is that VS WL will just be 1 day per character shorter (so 2 days instead of 3) and will still be 12 days long just like every other WL, because imo there's no fucking way they're doing an 18 day event... people would go ballistic, especially VS oshis. And IMO, sacrificing a limited event just seems like a really strange idea, that'd be such easy money for them?
The problem is... I feel like that's way too long for 6th lims to be going...? Especially for uscorer gaps too--when VBS got their 3rd uscorer when 2 units had 1 uscorer, the immediate next 2 months corrected it. Obviously that isn't possible here due to what they did but I seriously don't think we're going to have a 9 month delay between Leoni's 5th uscorer and MMJ's 4th.
Yeah, it's just a really difficult banner. Wedding and VBS hako lim were pretty expectable (at least 2/3 of the characters were super super obvious) but... man, wtf is going on here.
Hey. Back to torment you a bit more with my predictions. I was considering the possibility of Kanaena FES once again, and here's what I've got:
(Assuming Emu mixed + unit pairs FES, as usual)
So I started thinking about other possibilities with Kanaena FES, and here's what I've got:
FES Kanaena, with Emu + Honami + Airi (or Shizuku?) banner. Feels like a much less outrageous banner (to me lol, besides MMJ getting another lim. let them rest a bit please?), and it fits pretty well
-Kanade and Ena can get 4* cards before they go way too long without one, and Honami lim explains why L/n WL is in late July
Don't see anything immediately wrong with the banner
Also by doing this, they can do Rui + Akito + VBS Rin at the end of July... And Miku+Len FES for anni??
Hi hi!
I agree with you on 3/6 being viable but 4/6 not being viable. I think it makes sense... Honami I think is the most viable for Leoni on the banner. I think your spec is sensible enough and I would agree with Airi over Shizuku. My one worry is that I'm not sure about how they're going to handle VS lims. The characters at 5 lims rn are Honami, Rui, Mafuyu, the Kagamines, and Kaimei.
Assuming they aim to get +1 for the units behind on uscorers, I think VBS just kinda has to be Rin (I'm not sure about a random Miku and no way are we getting another Luka). Meiko can be Niigo, and Len/Kaito can be MMJ. I think they can stuff the last one with Miku on Anni (probably one of the guys--realistically, Len I'd wager)
Well, the thing is, only 2 more uscorers can be released before anni3 too... because VS WL is upcoming, it prevents anything from happening at the end of August lim set. VBS Rin is also one of the VS missing a design, too, so I think yeah, it makes sense she'd be on the lim set right after Leoni WL
I guess I'm just not sure about SummerFES being a 3OC lim set because we're already guaranteed another one of those before anni while VS lims are behind and uscorer counts are weird, but if it's Emu+Leoni it kinda has to be... it's confusing me, lol.
To be fair, Minori got two mixed 3* in a row (WD and 3.5 anni), so Shiho should have no issue
However, now that you mention the class event thing... not sure what exactly they'd cook up to have Emu's class and Kanamafu especifically to interact. Perhaps it's actually just Emusaki + Kanamafu, something like, "emu and saki found [location of choice] but shiho dgaf (or maybe she does. and she's actually one of the event cards) and emu decides to invite mafuyu because she has been looking gloomy after [mafuyu5] :( and somehow kanade's there" and we finally get a mafuemu ev-
Anyways...! Not really feeling Emu + Rui because we already got the Rui + Tsukasa mixed last year, in the very same month. Would be odd to do the double WxS lims mixed thing in the same month again, imo
So, for now, I'm predicting 4* Emu, Saki, Kanade, with shop Mafuyu + Shiho (or MEIKO, maybe. she hasnt had many shop cards lately and i think has less than everyone else)
Oh! You're right... I forgot about that haha.
Well, Emu is associated with Mafuyu, and Mafuyu is associated with Kanade... I just don't really think we're going to have a... 6th? Emusaki mix that ISNT their class mix, so I think Shiho will pretty easily take the 3* slot if this happens.
Also true, you're right, same slot for same unit having it, so it would be pretty strange. Meiko shop isn't necessary imo bc, while she technically has less than the other VS--she'll be above average after that when a non insignificant amount of characters are kinda behind.
The thing about doing Ichika is that, who would be the third 4*? If it's Emu + Ichika, it cannot be a L/n or WxS VS, obviously (lol), and I feel like if it was a MMJ char, we'd overdose on MMJ (Airi could be fine but still, way too much MMJ lately). And assuming Akitoya is FES, so no VBS either, and no Rui or Tsukasa:
If it were Kanade, it'd mean Kanade+Ichika lims together yet again (for the third time in less than a year, and a fourth since VD Ichika lmao). Ena should be fine though.
That's why I'm thinking either Saki or Honami for the L/n char.
Oh and something I forgot to mention: since Mafuyu can't be shop in her own event, and she'd have the least shop rewards because Kanade's likely shop in it, I was thinking she could be in Emu's mixed, so Kanade as a 4* does make sense (imo)
Also, for the VS WL thing: since Rui has a good chance to be in the banner (otherwise he'd probably have to wait until past Anni to get another lim, and that's way too long imo), I was thinking of Shizuku + Rui + MMJ Len/KAITO? Or Rui + Mizuki + Niigo VS, maybe
Unsure what VBS char could be in there if it's Akitoya FES the previous month, though. But if it's not Akitoya FES, then Rui + Akito + VBS Rin would be fine?
(sorry i accidentally wrote a lot!!)
never worry about writing a lot anon! i'm always curious to see your thoughts. plus it's fun to bounce back
ahh, it's true about ichika... yeah VS are obviously hard banned if that's the case. for some reason this mixed just feels so impossible to predict to me unlike previous mixed events... i'm in agreement with mafuyu shop, though. i think her being behind + having an association with emu really boosts it. just gotta figure out the other 3 members on the lineup (lol). i guess saki+kanade works but i really dunno if we'll do another emusaki and NOT have it be the class event...? or maybe it's just. the class event + kanamafu..??? but shiho would likely be 3* there too and 2 mixed event shiho 3*s in a row would be a bit odd... i dunno. i'm overthinking this probably. i think i might just let colopale surprise me
also true about rui. he does need a lim.. i always forget about that. that's something to factor in as well. what if it's an emurui mixed with (leoni member) + mafuyu shop and uhh. god knows what else for the final one? would give us 3boys on fes (their absolute favorite)
yeah having 3 units behind on uscorer makes this a lot less obvious to me. maybe not vbs rin... niigo/mmj seem more feasible. sorry if i feel a bit less clear. i'm honestly pretty stumped compared to usual
Yo yo. So about the KAITO comm thing; I'm predicting VBS right before L/n WL, and I think that could be Kohane+An+KAITO, so perhaps that's where his next comm song is
Also, assuming MMJ is Haruka, Shizuku, Rin, then Niigo Mafuyu, Mizuki, Miku (these are pretty much the only choices to not break balance or any rules anyways), I think Emu+Kanade+Niigo VS (probably Len. yeah i know niigo meiko is sort of rotting but im feeling him more in this situation) with Akitoya FES makes the most sense
However, if they do mixed pairs for FES, then perhaps Honami+Toya FES?? I know it's a bit random but I believe there must be a reason why L/n WL is late July rather than early July like all the previous WL. Kohane, Tsukasa+Emu, and now Minori all got lim cards in the lim banner after their WL, so I imagine there may be a L/n char somehow in the banner at the end of June. Emu+Honami+Kanade would be perfect but it would mean a repeat of last year's wedding banner ??? lol
Or maybe they do Emu+Saki+Kanade and Akitoya FES
Heya!
Hmm... well, I don't really think we'll get Honami+Toya tbh, the two literally don't even really know each other. I think if we get mixed fes they'd at least choose characters who are friends... and I think if we did mixed fes, they'd do what they did for half anni where Saki was on the fes, but we had Honami on the gacha, so Honasaki were both rateup. I don't really know how they'd make that work with 2 lns+2vbs+emu. I think it's safer to just bet with in-unit fes for now. I guess we'll see?
I think I'd cry blood if we do another Niigo Len before Meiko LOL. I do agree there is probably someone from Leoni as a PU on the event--kinda suspicious how it's pushed back. I feel similarly with VS WL (maybe that's where we could get a Rin lim? would have to be VBS) so Emu+???(Leoni)+??? + AKTY feels like a safe bet. I guess my gut is feeling Ichika, though.
As for Kaito, with him kicked this rotation, he'd probably end up being doubled up to catch up with everyone--so VBS Kaito+MMJ Kaito next rotation feels kinda feasible imo. Both are kinda dead, yeah?
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