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gay oomfie · 3d
hi again! honestly surprised by the lineup. i had seen some people predict kohane (which, in hindsight, should've been more obvious to me), but rui was a bit of a surprise! this does probably mean the ny can be a n25 focus, though… kanade seems to fit greatly, but putting her with minori again… dear god we may be getting yet another airi lim aren't we😭
also, this is technically spoilers, but the event shop lineup is also great! i'm actually surprised they're been finally giving characters the rarities they're due… ichiena 2* and mizunene 3* for when though.
and finally… it being a rui focus does elevate the chances of next wxs event being emu6 instead of rui5, huh? it's not necessarily impossible for him to still be next: the nenemix3 to nene5 distance was comically short, but still.
as for my predictions for ny, i'll keep it short:
bf 4*: an (pure) & len (anything but cute)
4*: kanade, airi>minori, mmj kaito>n25 kaito (pure? hesitant bc of airi)
as for event shop, i was thinking ena 2*? but that's also very possible in the next n25 event. 3* could be airi if minori's the 4*, somehow, or mizuki, but i'm iffy on that one considering they were last year's ny focus… ugh😭
heya! kohane and luka were expected, but rui focus was definitely a surprise haha. but yeah, this means NY kanade focus is quite likely (unless they do airi focus). whether she's with minori or airi... flip a coin!
also yes, with ruimix3 here, if there's a wxs event in january (which i think is likely because of the stream guests), i heavily doubt it's rui, because he's now at 4* cap + the shortest gap between focuses of the same character is three events, so no way rui5 is in january. it may actually be emu6 after all
for NY... i mostly agree with you:
4* kanade + airi/minori + mmj kaito, and shop shizuku and ena is my guess. if it's shizuku shop, 4* airi probably makes more sense. and bfes would be an and len
im not so sure about the pure attribute, because we've had a lot of pure events lately + airi got a pure lim just three months ago, but kaito really needs a pure 4* lmao
at this point, though, i think it's easy to say that akito likely won't be NY focus; i'm not really feeling him being in two mixeds in a row. while they've done it before (like tsukasa in lsh then anni3)... eh. kanade seems very likely imo
i think my spec for NY is wrong somewhere, somehow, though. it can't be that simple, imo
gay oomfie · 4d
i don't even think that was properly articulated (regarding last ask) but on a more positive note: what do you think of this ny's song campaign? i was surprised by all 5 championship songs being here… i thought they'd be added gradually! 😭😭
since we know which ones are getting covers:
- konton boogie is definitely wxs. i'd like ruikasa but full group seems possible too.
- snooze has a 50/50 chance of being mmj and n25, and the other choice doesn't help at all.
as for the hints: henk4 is 100% ch4nge, really liked that hint lol. vbs getting another giga song is a bit foul, but hey they're a match made in heaven for a reason! seeing some people say it could be anhane or full group (i'd rather have this as full group and hanaobore anhane…)
the 鼓動 (pulsation) with fire emojis overlapped… i'm seeing wayyyy too many options, but general agreement seems to be it's the l/n cover. there was burning x3 by yuyoyuppe song, world lampshade [reunion] by buzzg…
the "eternal farewell" hint seems to be saihate by kz-livetune, and is the song that is also a coinflip between mmj and n25… hopefully it isn't full group either.
i know you mentioned you don't know a lot of vocaloid, and truthfully i didn't know most of these songs either😭 i'm wondering ehich which cover we'll get outside of the campaign, too. i'm assuming l/n or vbs as they're still behind for the albums… hopefully.
sorry for the yap lol it's 2 am where i live what am i doing😭
i considered the possibility the championship songs would be part of the NY campaign but i expected them to be added gradually too... only three hints is kind of boring tbh
now i don't have as much knowledge about vocaloid songs and such, so i'm not the best one to ask about this stuff, but konton boogie for wxs makes a lot of sense. ruikasa 3DMV after so long would be great, but considering they hate duets nowadays... i'm not so sure
ch4nge vbs makes sense too. praying for ankoha but (war flashbacks) sighs
snooze and saihate being for mmj and niigo is what i've heard most, and it's a gamble who gets which. oomfs seem to have settled on snooze niigo and saihate mmj though?
and the long ass song name, whatever it is, being leoni. the issue with that one is that Burning Burning Burning is exactly 21 characters... without the spaces, but they count spaces (look at mozaik role in anni4 song campaign) so it's a bit ??? right now what it's supposed to be
sorry i really don't have much to add in this case...! i just agree with the general consensus here. i'm happy with anything, i just hope there's a duet or two
and for songs outside campaign... i'd say likely leoni bc touya5 should be happening in january, and lately they don't seem to have both cover and event song of the same unit in the same month outside song campaigns? but i wouldn't complain if we got a vbs cover outside the campaign haha
gay oomfie · 4d
l/n anon again!
two things: omg that was longer than expected (regarding the vd post)… sorry for not answering lol. i think maybe you're right and it's n25, ideally i'd prefer mafuyu because mafukasa interaction but one of my current top choices for next permmix is her so i'm iffy… i guess it'd be okay, though? it's whatever at this point. i was thinking shizuku could still be possible but them doing her would be a 3/5 repeat of pandemonium… not that it's impossible (see: precious memories, bustling café and operation secret valentines all having sakiemuairi lol).
i'm honestly not sure about the ny's lineup at all so it's whatever atp… as for shiho5 being after honami5, i guess it's possible? not ideal, though, but eh. l/n does need to catch up in the rotation though… so as long as it isn't ichika6 or something weird (which reminds me, i've seen some posts about how emu6 could happen before rui5, have any idea what's up with that?)
i didn't mention it, but i feel an has a high chance of getting 2 lims in a row (ny bfes -> wd). she went over a year without a lim (2.5th anni -> an5) and she hasn't gotten a lim ever since so yeah.
hi again! haha no worries about not answering
i'm still thinking honami+kohane+luka for the perm mix tbh, though i could be a bit biased haha. but mafuyu+tsukasa+shizuku should be totally fine! RIP VD akito but that lineup may make a bit more sense... although we recently got a tenmas + hinomoris event so im not 100% sure on that
as for NY... hopefully it becomes a bit more clear tomorrow after the event reveal. im nervous
then, shiho5 after honami5 is mainly based on the fact that honami's in WD, since next leoni event should be around february or march; but hey, they could give honami two 4* close together
finally, emu6 before rui5 is because of the story? and it also allows rui hakolim focus on golden week
sorry, dont have as much to say, especially because event reveal is tomorrow and half of this may become obsolete soon... lol. anyways, going to reply to your other ask in a sec. hold on
gay oomfie · 13d
i don't think they'll do a third n25 member for valentine's in a row, or at least i hope so, therefore i'm not really expecting mizuki. i agree i have no idea which other character could be. maybe shizuku? that without ignoring the high chance of it being 3 ocs considering all previous vd events have been like that lol, but you never know😭
well, i think there'll be a niigo char in VD because... there simply isn't many other choices. assuming they don't do 4* repeats, the choices are:
shiho (honami)
minori (shizuku)
an, akito (touya)
tsukasa, rui
mafuyu, mizuki
miku, meiko, kaito (rin, len, luka)
with the ones in brackets being chars that already have a 3 or 2* in a previous VD event
starting with the VS, meiko is likely not happening. she's only missing wxs uscorer, and that'd complete both her uscorer lims and the wxs uscorer lims. miku's a similar case, though she wouldn't complete the mmj uscorers so it's half-fine
kaito's likely on NY, and len has a pretty good chance too; however, if they break the lim cap, len can be here... except it'd be niigo len, so it already proves there'd be a niigo lim in VD lol
i can kinda see vbs rin or luka happening, but since rin is likely in touya5 due to being behind in songs, and luka was the event card last year... not really feeling it
leaving VS aside:
- shiho's already at 4* cap, and i doubt she'd break cap again so soon. this is also the main reason why i think shiho's not the next leoni focus; either that or leoni's not in january
- minori... can happen! but not really feeling her. i think there's a chance she's on NY
- an i think is more likely on NY (as bloomfes), while i can really see akito happening. but an can be on VD if akito's bloomfes, or there's no vbs bfes at all
- i think tsukasa has a HIGH chance of being there, and perhaps even the focus. on the other hand... i don't think it'll be rui. rui5 should be around then, so... yeah.
- mafuyu and mizuki are both possible, though i think it's more likely mafuyu if either, since she's more due for a 4* than mizuki. mizuena got 4* cards in mizuki5 and ena5, so kanade being on NY and mafuyu on VD makes sense... to me!
when it comes to the OCs that already have 3/2* cards:
- honami feels more likely to be in WD if anything to me
- shizuku same thing, although i admit there's a chance it's her. she's a 2* compared to the other two here
- and touya was just last year, so it feels too fast to repeat if they even did repeats imo
this leaves, pretty much:
akito, tsukasa, mafuyu... yeah, my cursed lineup spec. maybe shizuku if they don't mind repeating characters that have already had VD cards?
a bit iffy for now on my specs, but tsukasa+mafuyu VD seems like a good bet
gay oomfie · 13d
i agree the permmix will definitely confirm the new year's lineup indirectly😭 i do think it'll probably be a mafuyu focus tho, tsukasa seems like a likely choice for valentine's instead imo. also because while akito and minori have interacted together already (in rise as one i think? i only play on en lol), i would rather have them interact again than have another akikasa pu event in valentine's lol, at least akimino haven't shared a pu gacha lol. kinda wish the game tried to make more different characters interact rather than repeating certain lineups a lot (ichika and mizuki have never interacted to my knowledge, kanade has the lowest amount of people wishing her hbd in the menu and lowest trust ranks… wow.)
went on a bit of a tangent there sorry, but yeah lol. i like those dynamics din't get me wrong: i like ichikana's dynamic, but sometimes i also wish for more different interactions lol.
yeah i understand. of course, i also like when new and different interactions happen, but it also has to happen a bit naturally. they can always pull stuff out their ass, though, like last NY funnily
they kind of repeat character combos occasionally but, at the same time, they're kinda needed to build up other relationships. though in ichikana's case they're both leaders so they're more likely to be together?
either way, i'd definitely much prefer akito+minori NY haha. not sure who they'd put in VD though, especially if it's mafuyu perm mix. minori, akito, and mafuyu aren't available so it's....?? (it better not be mizuki+tsukasa)
i think NY being kanade+airi would allow for a new and curious interaction. could be fun. kanaena+shizuai?
gay oomfie · 13d
okay, this lineup makes sense (agree on the untrained wtf??? that looks insanely good)
at this point it's just cope but i really hope airi somehow manages to not be in ny's😭😭😭or that she gets a permanent card soon after that at the very least,,,
haruka 3* kinda has to happen here, and seeing how they've actually done okayish decisions (tsukasa, rui and mafuyu 2*, and kanade 3*) i'm a bit hopeful. airi can be the 2* but i wouldn't be surprised if she's excluded from the set or smth (i doubt it, tho)
a bit unrelated, but do you think kanade has a chance to appear in ny instead of akito? it's a prediction i've been seeing, and while i doubt it, i'm realizing she's unavailable for a lot of things (vd, wd, april hakolim assuming it's wxs, wedding…), maybe half anni? i was thinking that could be a vs event too tho but i'm not really feeling it anymore lol
they're lying to us. that's not a perm thats a lim in disguise... crazy stuff
being serious though. yeah this lineup is Exactly what i predicted so im feeling a bit smug lol
the bright side is that NY airi is not really guaranteed, but she looks quite likely right now. they could still do minori, which would make sense because she went so long without a 4*, and now she'd get two in a row? and airi can afford to wait until february for a card. better to wait a bit more than get yet another lim i suppose?
regardless, i think kanade has a pretty good chance to be the NY focus yeah. the main argument i have for her is that i doubt they'd make her wait until february to get another 4*. she usually gets 4* cards quite consistently (being one of the most popular chars and all that), although they also made mizuki and ena both wait 170+ days this year so it's not really off the table lol
for now, my NY predictions are like:
kanade or akito (focus) + minori or airi + mmj kaito, with bfes an + len
once we see the perm mix lineup, i'll know for sure. if it's mafuyu focus, i'd say 100% akito NY focus; if it's not mafuyu, kanade can still happen (i just don't think they'd do both three niigo focuses so close together + two niigo mixeds in a row)
gay oomfie · 18d
hi again! since you mentioned it some time ago:
i think len has a chance of being bfes now, but i was thinking it could be so that all groups have 3 members remaining per group? so:
ny bfes: len & an(?) - vs & vbs
would mean we have 3 characters per group left. 4.5 anni fes could then be l/n + mmj, and then all the remaining characters can rotate without the vs requiring more, since they're the only "group" with 6 members? idk😭
hello! this theory makes sense, actually. it works pretty well if they give len bfes to not break the lim cap (sorry dont have much to add this time. it just makes sense!)
for the bfes. im feeling bfes an the most, personally, though technically it can be akito too, while i think kohane and touya are less likely
if it somehow were leoni (then vbs+mmj on 4.5), then ichika or saki works... (but leaning more towards the latter)
but len + an seems like the best bet, imo
gay oomfie · 24d
i find it funny how our original mizuki5 prediction ended up being ena5 instead lol. i'd like to say i'm surprised it was cool instead of happy but i realized "oh wait it could be cool" so, yeah sure whatever.
this is insane though… you can't even see ena's eyes in the card. wow. hopefully they don't do something weird and actually give kanade a 3* and mafuyu a 2* otherwise i legitimately will cry😭
my predictions for the other events are the same (as in, anything that makes airi get a permanent 4* and not appear in ny). better wait for the month's calendar to release though (ngl i feel they should release them right after the broadcast instead of until next month lol)
haha yeah. i was actually surprised by cool... mainly because i forgot it was also a possibility LOL. also because happy felt thematically appropriate. but this is fine!
it's a pretty crazy card. also they surely have to do kanade 3* and mafuyu 2*... there's no reason to do it the other way around
but yeah, i'll wait until the calendar to spec more of the december events and NY, just in case they surprise us, though im expecting shizuku5 -> perm mix rather than the other way around
gay oomfie · 27d
i saw some people mention it may have to do with next month having the new year's song campaign, but even then, i feel we got very few songs. and it definitely has been like this for a while😭 kinda weird tbh
yeah... not really sure why, really. maybe they've been slowing down on songs for... other things? (mysekai?) or perhaps its because we're getting 5 new songs with the. sekai tournament thing i forgot its name sorry; but i doubt they're getting released this month so its weird
i dont think we need to get too many songs per month, 4-5 seems fine to me, but to only get 4 and 3 two months in a row is unusual. we've definitely had months with just 2 or 3 songs in the past but i feel like they were rare and mainly happened before a song campaign
gay oomfie · 27d
l/n anon here!
i'm glad my event predictions are correct (they were obvious as hell tho). ena5 will be the end of all of us.
on a less bright note: why. is. hana obore full group. why is it the only cover this month. hopefully they pull a sweet magic situation and give anhane all the lines (<- cope)
ok but seriously though, only 3 songs this month, again???? and not even two covers😭😭😭
heya! yeah they were pretty obvious haha. there may have been some room for doubt for mmj to be haruka5 but. i was expecting shizuku5 more
as for hanaobore full group... hm. it sucks. i really don't like it. as much as i like akitouya... No. this isn't it. they shouldn't be there. awful decision
and i really don't understand why we get so few songs. i thought it may have been because we're getting an early stream... but no, it's actually a late one LOL. idk...!!
oh well. excited for ena5! (and lowkey scared)
gay oomfie · 28d
first master 29 fc and akito isat the crime scene hell yeah, CONGRATS!!!
gay oomfie · 1mo
ugh… another airi lim would genuinely be outrageous😭😭i honestly hope you're wrong about that one because jeez
personally i'm wondering if len could be in ny's bloomfes (happy if they're insane, cool or mysterious otherwise?) or if he will appear as a 4* in valentine's day instead (tsukasa, mafuyu & n25 len?)😭 i'm not even sure atp, the former would bot break the lim cap, but would be outrageous to do a 3rd vs in a row, while the latter could "justify" temporarily breaking the cap as it would just be another month before it's "restored"?
on a brighter note, tokyo teddy bear 2dmv! surprised it was that one though. i was expecting something less recent like summertime record or tengaku. funny how ttb got it relatively quickly (just like when its saki and shiho alts released lol).
haha, understandable, but shizuku5 sort of has to be 2OC+VS because meiko, miku, and luka should be getting 4* soon, so i think it's likely: either minori waits 7 months for a 4*, or airi gets yet another lim?
yeah len should either be NY or VD, depends on whether they're fine with breaking the lim cap. len+OC bloomfes could happen, although it feels a bit excessive to do it for the third time in a row... but it could happen! i can lowkey see bfes len then the very cursed banner that is VD akito+tsukasa+mafuyu
but tsukasa+mafuyu+len also works, and is equally cursed... lol. i'd expect at least one man in VD, sorry
im happy with akito being either in NY (lim or bfes) or VD ^_^ may even prefer the latter a bit more now, even though the banner sounds cursed (but all three are in my top 5 so yay)
either way, glad we're finally getting a leoni 2dmv!! happy for you and other leoni oomfies. yippee. ttb is a funny choice tho since it's quite recent
gay oomfie · 1mo
okay i just give up why tf is len here go awayyyy this is your 6th wxs 4*😭😭😭
on a serious note… this is actually kinda bad. len is now unavailable for a 4* next event, which means he can't get a lim.
maybe meiko is actually in ena5? suzuki is a mc this month's broadcast so that's a sign. what about shizuku5 though… ugh😭
lmao. they're so funny
but yes, meiko HAS to be in ena5 at this point. like. it can't be kaito, it can't be len. unless they do enamizumafu or repeat niigo miku lim, it HAS to be meiko. oughh. so bad. i want the niigo meiko lim im tweaking (sorry)
i'm thinking they'll do:
ena5 - ena, mizuki, meiko
shizuku5 - shizuku, minori, miku
mixed - mafuyu, rui, niigo luka
ny - akito, airi, mmj kaito (with bfes ichika+an)
this is the only combination if they dont break the comm VS pattern, among other patterns. they will break the lim cap, though, so i guess anything goes
gay oomfie · 1mo
i actually just looked at the sekai balance post from the developers, and 3dmvs are indeed priorized (although they make note of distinguishing comms from covers, but that's kinda obvious seeing how everyone has an even amount of 2dmvs and 3dmvs ending at the 4th rotation, and saki at 6th rotation, too)
hopefully vbs gets covers soon to complete their album. at least l/n is technically on par with the other groups (but behind in the album due to bump of chicken's songs lol), but in vbs's case not even aun no beats puts them on par with the rest😭 cover distribution currently is:
37 - mmj! & n25
36 - l/n & wxs
34 - vbs
so yeah, very behind. vbs cover spam (hopefully) incoming?
also not really related but it is worth mentioning cover distribution is also a priority but it's only by groups (which checks out, looking at mmj's full group covers total compared to other groups lol)
and 2dmvs are also prioritized, but i don't think they made a distinction between comms and covers, unlike with 3dmvs. and the vs ones don't count into rotation.