I kinda see 3 possible futures for the Fediverse, tbh.

Either it still exists in that weird place between being a niche and somewhat mainstream at the same time...

or it's being heavily commercialized (and the ones that created it will work on something similar but also entirely different)...

or it'll be extinct, surpassed by better alternatives...

idk, I can't quite answer these kinds of questions... I mean I can't even really say where I see myself in 5 years or so lmao

Programming sock distribution programs... ₍ᐢ. ̫.ᐢ₎

Definitely still around. It's been here since 2008 after all.

Hard to say for sure how it'll look like. Hopefully it won't be commercialized.

It would still exist, but probably be a niche, because something new/better came along that took users by storm.

Hopefully it'll become the primary mainstream social media.

In the managerial position, or maybe even boss. Who knows what opportunities await fedi in the next 10 years

10 years? I could see it hopefully having already replaced mainstream social medias.

i forgor

Maybe similar to the state email is in now. Only a few big players of big companies that vaguely and without notice filter out the small or individuals' instances. Or maybe literally nothing will happen, I wouldn't be surprised of that either, but we'll see.

Honestly, I hope to see it thriving, but for that to happen, there really needs to be a move away from a virtual monoculture where there is 1 main implementation with 95% of the users(masto and forks), and more towards a model where many implementations are designed for different purposes. I also think there needs to be more thought put into the social model of it, where things like locking or at least limiting comments, non-"note"(post, toot, etc) kinds of posts are done, and really I think that the ideas we have now just need to be expanded upon and more set in stone.

dead

I'm not being ironic, I seriously expect it to slowly wither now that big tech is jumping on it too. They'll just poison it and ruin it, like they do everything. But we'll likely just move on to the next thing, because there's always a next thing.

Hopefully more alive than ever

without groups

idk tbh, it's already getting weird and out of hand

on the internet